The CHill Zone of T&F: Conway's View From the Finish Line

World Championships Preview – 4×4 Relay

Aug 19th, 2011
6:27 am PDT

One of the most exciting events at any track and field championships is the 4×4 relay. Traditionally the 4×4 closes out a meet, but this time around that duty is transferred to the 4×1. It will seem odd not watching the give and take that often occurs in the long relay. Because this year’s races promise to be quite exciting.

 

 

Women’s 4×4

       
World Record 3:15.18 Soviet Union URS
Meet Record 3:16.71 United States USA
2009 Gold 3:17.83 United States USA

 

2011 Best

  3:22.92 United States – Red USA
  2:23.17 United States – Blue USA
  3:23.82 Jamaica JAM
  3:26.31 Texas A&M University USA
  3:26.46 Auburn University USA
  3:26.68 BM&F Bovespa BRA

The annual list means little when talking about this event because it is almost never run outside collegiate meets or championship settings. About all one can do is look at the 400 list, and at historical performances. Because often teams employ non quarter milers to fill out their squads – long hurdlers, 200 meter sprinters, and sometimes 800 meter runners.

That said, there are three countries with depth in these areas. First is defending champion Unites States. The U.S. returns three women from the Berlin Championship squad – Allyson Felix, Lashinda Demus, and Sanya Richards. All three are once again among the best in the world in their respective events. Felix is near her 400 PR this year with an SB of 49.81. Richards, who struggled for most of the season, turned in a 49.66 in London prior to the break. And Lashinda Demus is once again at 53-low in the hurdles. The fourth member of the ‘09 squad, Debbie Dunn, just pulled out of Worlds due to injury, but should be replaced by Francena McCorory who has run 50.29 this year and is well seasoned in relay work.

The ‘09 runner up, Jamaica, also has three returnees from their squad – Rosemarie Whyte, Novlene Williams Mills and Shericka Williams. Whyte (49.84) has broken the 50 second barrier this year in setting a new PR. In contrast, both Williams Mills (50.05) & Williams (50.64) are well off their PRs of 49.63 & 49.32 respectively. A key for Jamaica, however, is that they will be able to upgrade that fourth position from last year with Kaliese Spencer who has shown marked improved in the 400 hurdles, dropping down to 52.79 in the event.

The final major contender should be ‘09 bronze medalist Russia, who could return their entire squad – Ana Kapachinskaya, Tatyana Firova, Lyudmila Litvinova, and Antonina Krivoshapka. I say could because Russia seems to have a new crop of quarter milers every major. Kapachinskaya (49.35) and Krovoshapka (49.92) are almost certain to be on the squad as the sit at #1 and #5 on the yearly list. Depending on current fitness, they could go with the exact same squad as last year, or move someone up from their Trials like Ksenia Vdovina (50.67).

Two other squads that never seem to have the depth, but find athletes that compete well are the Ukraine and Great Britain. While neither is a gold medal threat, both are usually sitting around and in range should any of the top squads make a  mistake. Both are certainly in the hunt for a top four finish and potential bronze.

So, who gets what? Russia is always the “X” factor in this race. They either show up sizzling, or leave you wondering which athletes came to the meet. The question with Jamaica will be how they place their personnel. Whyte lead off in the past but is their fastest so far this year. Does she get anchor duty over the vets? And if Spencer is on the podium in the hurdles will she want anchor duty? Chemistry can often make or break a 4×4. And will the U.S. simply stand pat and just insert the replacement for Dunn into the same spot and go with what’s worked in the past. Because, for my money, the flow of Felix to Demus to Richards works to well to fiddle with regardless of how they do in individual events.

This race goes to the squad that has repeatedly gone sub 3:20.

Gold United States USA 3:17.80
Silver Jamaica JAM 3:19.25
Bronze Russia RUS 3:19.75
Just Missed Ukraine UKR 3:21.90

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Men’s 4×4

       
World Record 2:54.29 United States USA
Meet Record 2:54.29 United States USA
2009 Gold 2:57.86 United States USA

 

2011 Best

  3:00.45 Texas A&M University USA
  3:00.80 GW Express USA
  3:01.07 Louisiana State University USA
  3:01.33 Bahamas BAH
  3:01.56 Mississippi State Univ USA
  3:01.59 Belgium BEL

As I said above, the annual list means little when talking about this event because it is almost never run outside collegiate meets or championship settings. So we must look at the 400 lists, and at history as a guide. The one big difference is that unlike the women, the men aren’t returning wholesale squads from Berlin.

Take the defending champion U.S. for example. The U.S. squad returns three fourths of it’s Berlin squad of Angelo Taylor, Jeremy Wariner, Kerron Clement, and LaShawn Merritt – losing Wariner to injury earlier this summer. Clement, however, isn’t close to the sprinter he was in ‘09 so most likely won’t be on this year’s squad. Merritt got started late, but opened at 44.73 so is ready to rumble. Taylor has been in solid form all season, and always performs well on the relay. The rest of the squad will be new. Trials winner Tony McQuay would be an easy choice, it’s the fourth spot that will be more difficult to figure. For my money I would go with Michael Berry, who’s run 44.91 in the open and ran very strong relay legs for Oregon.

That’s the sort of dilemma facing most men’s squads this year – everyone seems to have a couple of strong legs that they need to build around. Grenada has the two fastest men in the 400 entering Daegu in Kirani James (44.61) and Rondell Bartholomew (44.65). The question will be what kind of talent can they put around them – and can Bartholomew get back to his earlier form?

Belgium has the Borlee twins, Kevin (44.74) and Jonathan (44.97). The pair lead Belgium to a 5th place finish in Beijing at 2:59.37. Can they get that kind of support from their countrymen this time around? In Berlin they were only able to run 3:01.88, though that was good enough to move them up to 4th. a sub 3:00 could get to the podium.

The Bahamas has Chris Brown (44.79) who has lead their squads in the past. Non finalists in Berlin, they were silver in Beijing (2:58.03) and Osaka (2:59.18). Brown will have newcomer Demetrius Pinder (44.78) to help out this time around to go with returnee Michael Mathieu (45.54). Can they once again get in podium range?

Britain doesn’t have much on the flat 400 this year, but they have a trio of long hurdlers that they could build around in David Greene (48.20), Nathan Woodward (48.71) and Jack Green (48.98). And Jamaica has Jermaine Gonzalez (44.69) to lead them, but there’s a big drop off to Ryker Hylton’s 45.30. They may be able to use long hurdler Leford Green (49.03) who actually placed 2nd in the open 400 at their Trials.

So, what to do with this kaleidoscope of talent? In spite of the loss of Wariner, it would seem that the U.S. can still put together a squad capable of running under 2:58. The question then becomes, can anyone else? Or for that matter can anyone else get under 3:00 – something that didn’t happen in Berlin. Let’s go with:

Gold United States USA 2:57.30
Silver Bahamas BAH 2:58.90
Bronze Belgium BEL 2:59.50
Just Missed Grenada GRN 3:00.40

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Why the Intermission – and Other Questions

Aug 18th, 2011
7:35 am PDT

Today is August 18th. The last big meet on the circuit was in London back on August 5-6th. The World Championships are STILL a week and a half away – starting August 27th. Can someone tell me why we have such a LONG break before the World Championships? We’re looking at a 3 week break with no track and field, smack dab in the middle of the European Circuit – the heart of the sport’s most visible time of the year! We’re talking about a marketing fiasco of the highest order Read More...

World Championships Preview – 400 Hurdles

Aug 17th, 2011
6:14 am PDT

The 400 hurdles is an event where we are fortunate enough this year to have very solid and strong fields on both the men and women’s sides. Several veteran athletes, some great young talent, and a couple of hurdlers looking for redemption.   Women’s 400 Hurdles         World Record 52 Read More...

World Championships Preview – 200 Meters

Aug 16th, 2011
5:29 am PDT

Ah the deuce. Taking place as it does near the end of the meet, it is somewhat difficult to predict. Sometimes athletes are tired by the time the deuce rolls around, as it’s often the second half of a double. Sometimes injuries come into play. There’s the opportunity to become a double winner for some, and the redemption factor for those that lost earlier in the week Read More...

World Championships Preview – 100 Meters

Aug 14th, 2011
8:02 am PDT

I know that this is the event that many have been waiting for, but I wanted to wait until the drama of the recent drug positive played out a bit before previewing both this race and the 200. While the news of Steve Mullings (JAM) positive test is extremely disappointing, I will wait until the Anti Doping Process has run it’s course before commenting further on those circumstances Read More...

World Championships Preview – 110/100 Hurdles

Aug 13th, 2011
6:35 am PDT

The hurdles are always exciting and there should be no shortage of excitement in Daegu. Heading into the World Championships, we have two events that each have four athletes capable of taking to the podium – unfortunately only three get that privilege!   Men’s 110 Hurdles         World Record 12 Read More...

World Championships Preview – 800 Meters

Aug 12th, 2011
6:12 am PDT

The 800 meters will be exciting in Daegu. On the men’s side because of the presence of World Record holder David Rudisha. On the women’s side because the event is potentially wide open.      Men’s 800         World Record 1:41.01 David Rudisha KEN Meet Record 1:43 Read More...

World Championships Preview – 1500 Meters

Aug 11th, 2011
7:13 am PDT

The Metric Mile, is one of the showcase events in the sport, and lately one of those hard to predict events. In large part because of the tendency for milers to get “tactical” in the big meets as opposed to simply “racing”. I don’t see an end to that trend on either the women or men’s sides in Daegu Read More...

World Championships Preview – 400 Meters

Aug 10th, 2011
7:01 am PDT

OK. Time for the fun to begin. I’m going to start with the 400 meters because there’s been so much activity there lately. Athletes in and out, up and down, and generally nearly unpredictable. Which is why I’m starting with this event – it’s got to be easier after this! Men’s 400         World Record 43 Read More...

State of the World Championships Squad

Aug 8th, 2011
12:01 pm PDT

Wow, it’s almost here – The World Championships. The biggest track and field event of the year – much anticipated after a year off from global championship competition. With 19 days left until the start of the meet, and only a handful of smaller meets left this week, it’s time to try and make sense of what’s gone on so far this season and guess/speculate/prognosticate on what may transpire in Korea Read More...